Every year, NFL analysts talk about the benefit of the weeks off. Of the six teams exempted in Week 7, their collective ATS record last Sunday was 2-3-1. Last weekend, the Raiders and Ravens were the only teams exempted, and they’re a 2-6 combined ATS for the past four years after the break. Perhaps the traditional approach of favoring a team coming out of a pass shouldn’t be an automatic decision when evaluating NFL Week 9 odds.
Baltimore hosts Minnesota, which was favored by four points in the latest NFL spreads on Caesars Sportsbook last week against Dallas. The Vikings lost outright at home to the Cowboys, who turned out to be the better team when they won 20-14. Should you trust the Ravens (-6) or the Vikings for your NFL bets? All of the Week 9 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and predictions you need to make the best NFL Week 9 picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up nearly $ 7,800 per 100 players on the NFL’s top picks since its inception over six years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on the NFL’s top picks stretching back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on NFL direct picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Whoever followed him is very high.
Now he’s turned his attention to Caesars’ latest Week 9 NFL odds and has locked down picks for every NFL game. Head here to see each choice.
Best NFL predictions of week 9
One of the model’s best picks for NFL Week 9 is for the Saints (-6) to cover the spread against the Falcons as New Orleans wins by 10 points. New Orleans lost quarterback Jameis Winston for the season, but Sean Payton has proven he can win with just about anyone under center. As of 2019, New Orleans have a 0.739 winning percentage with Drew Brees (23 starts), but a 0.813 winning percentage with any other quarterback (16 starts).
New Orleans’ success is down to the fact that the team doesn’t depend on their quarterback to win games as they have one of the best defenses in the league. The Saints intercepted the most passes in the NFL (11) while also limiting opponents to 3.5 yards per carry, which is the best mark in the league. The Falcons are 29th in rushing yards per attempt and have just watched Matt Ryan throw two home interceptions against Carolina.
Ryan threw four interceptions in his last three games against the Saints, and those came when he brought out Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley next door. Neither will be on the field Sunday, and the model predicts Ryan will be selected for the fifth straight game in New Orleans. He also has Alvin Kamara rushing for more yards than the entire Atlanta team, which helps New Orleans cover over 60% of the sims.
Another of his NFL Week 9 predictions: The Steelers (-6.5) will cover the Bears at home. Pittsburgh was a five-point underdog last week coming out of its pass in Cleveland, but managed to win, 15-10. Chicago got a big effort from rookie quarterback Justin Fields last week, but still lost to San Francisco, 33-22.
Much of Fields’ big day against the 49ers came from his rushing yards, which totaled 103 with one touchdown. This season, Pittsburgh has only allowed opposing quarterbacks to run for 77 total yards and one year-round score. Fields has only passed 200 passing yards in one game so far this season, and even though the Steelers defense has just two interceptions in 2021, they’ve kept quarterbacks to lower yardage totals.
Pittsburgh backer Najee Harris has been one of the league’s most productive rookies, and Chicago has surrendered at least 145 yards to opponents in their last three games. The SportsLine model predicts Harris will finish with an extra 75 yards and one score, while Fields will finish with under 175 yards passing and just 36 yards on the ground. That’s all the difference Pittsburgh needs to cover the 6.5-point gap in almost 60% of the simulations.
How to make NFL Week 9 picks
The model also asked who wins and covers in every other game on the NFL Week 9 schedule, and he’s calling on a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game on SportsLine.
So what NFL choices can you make with confidence and which Super Bowl contender is falling hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning and covering the gap, all from a proven computer model that has grossed nearly $ 7,800 since its inception, and find out- the.
Week 9 NFL odds, spreads, lines
Thursday, November 4
Jets to Colts (-10.5, 46)
Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets
Sunday November 7
Texans at the Dolphins (-6.5, 45.5)
Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans
Broncos vs. Cowboys (-10, 49.5)
Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos
Vikings vs. Ravens (-6, 49.5)
Featured Game | Baltimore Ravens vs. Minnesota Vikings
Patriots at Panthers (+3.5, 41)
Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots
Invoices at Jaguars (+14.5, 48.5)
Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills
Bruns vs Bengals (-2.5, 47)
Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
Raiders at Giants (+3, 46.5)
Featured Game | New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Falcons to Saints (-6, 42)
Featured Game | New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
Chargeurs at Eagles (+1.5, 50)
Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Packers at Chiefs (-7.5, 48)
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers
Cardinals at 49ers (+1, 46)
Featured Game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Titans to Rams (-7.5, 53.5)
Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Tennessee Titans
Monday, November 8
Bear to Steelers (-6.5, 40)
Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears